Vegas Over/Under NBA Review

By jakepetersen22
Sep. 26, 2016

Earlier this week the Westgate Superbook in Las Vegas released their over/under wins for each NBA team. Since they are releasing theirs, it is time to take look at those and see which teams are realistically going to be better or worse than their Over/Under Line:

Atlanta Hawks: O/U 43.5 wins

This offseason the Hawks lost their best player, Al Horford, and added Dwight Howard to try to be his replacement. The Hawks will not be the same without Horford and they may struggle with finding a way to get Howard involved in the offensive and defensive schemes. 

Over/Under: UNDER

Boston Celtics: O/U 51.5 wins

Coming the biggest offseason since they formed the first "Big Three", the Celtics are in a good position to compete in the East. Adding Horford to the lineup is going to give Brad Stevens plenty of scoring options. Being in the Atlantic Division, the only team that may make life difficult for the Celtics would be the Toronto Raptors. 

Over/Under: OVER

Brooklyn Nets: O/U 20.5 wins

The dreaded Brooklyn Nets.... They added a decent point guard in Jeremy Lin, but he is not the savior for this organization. Their rosters looks like the island of misfit toys, so do not expect the Nets to make any noise in the NBA this year. 

Over/Under: UNDER

Charlotte Hornets: O/U 39.5 wins

This past year, it seemed like the Hornets might make some serious noise when the playoffs rolled around. They finished the 2015-16 regular season with a 48-34 record and winning 7 out of their last 10, but ran into the Miami Heat in the playoffs and ultimately lost in a game 7. They lost a couple of key pieces in Al Jefferson and Courtney Lee and replaced them with Roy Hibbert and Marco Belinelli. 

Over/Under: OVER

Chicago Bulls: O/U 38.5 wins

The Chicago Bulls have always been seen as a team that could compete in the East, but their time may have ran out. With young, up and coming Eastern Conference teams, the Bulls got older this offseason. They added D-Wade and Rondo and shipped Rose and Noah out to New York. Chemistry is still unknown, but the Bulls should win around 40 games and go over their projected total.

Over/Under: OVER

Cleveland Cavaliers: O/U 56.5 wins

The defending NBA Champs look to repeat as champions this upcoming year, they return much of the team they had last year but lost their back up point guard, Matthew Dellavedova in free agency. The Cavs should sit atop the Eastern Conference with no problems this year and will look pretty dominant against any other team that will try to dethrone them.

Over/Under: OVER

Dallas Mavericks: O/U 39.5 wins

The Mavericks had a pretty awful offseason after their was hype that they were going to get some of the high level free agents and ended up settling for Harrison Barnes (max contract) and Andrew Bogut (via trade). They also did not get any younger either. Do not expect them to be much of a factor this year.

Over/Under: UNDER

Denver Nuggets: O/U 34.5 wins

A young, up and coming Western Conference team that has a good mix of youth and veteran talent. Although they may not compete this year, they will drastically improve from where they have been in the last few years. 

Over/Under: UNDER

Detroit Pistons: O/U 45.5 wins

A team that is filled young talent and could have a promising year this year. They finished 6 games above .500 this past season (44-38). They will make a bigger leap than some people may think, behind Andre Drummond, Stanley Johnson and Reggie Jackson. Expect the Pistons have a very good year and should put some pressure on some teams that will be ahead of them.

Over/Under: OVER

Golden State Warriors: O/U 66.5 wins

You can say that the Warriors had the best offseason in the NBA, by signing a Top-3 player to a team that set the regular season win total last year. This year, they will clearly be the favorite to win it all. 66.5 wins is definitely reachable and will probably be exceeded. This team is not going to surprise anyone if they are to win 70+ games in back to back seasons.

Over/Under: OVER

Houston Rockets: O/U 41.5 wins

The Rockets are an interesting team. Team chemistry was the teams downfall and it did not help that they fired Kevin McHale at the beginning of last year. They made some good moves this offseason when they let Dwight Howard go and signed Eric Gordon and Ryan Anderson. It will still be interesting to see how this team, led by James Harden, will gel together, if they even will. If they can gel together they might win more than 41 games but if they cannot, then expect them to fall just short of 40 wins.

Over/Under: UNDER

Indiana Pacers: O/U 43.5 wins

The Indiana Pacers had a very very good and quiet offseason. They bolstered their starting five by trading for Thadeus Young and Jeff Teague and signed Al Jefferson. They can role out a starting five of Teague, Ellis, George, Young and Jefferson while also having a deep bench with players like Myles Turner, CJ Miles, Rodney Stuckey and others. Even though they fired Frank Vogel, who many think should not have been fired, the Pacers have set themselves up to be a very good and experienced team that may surprise people. At a projection of 43.5 wins, the Pacers should use this as motivation. 

Over/Under: OVER

Los Angeles Clippers: O/U 53.5 wins

Lob City, as some would say, Flop City, has experienced sustained success over the last 5 years or so, but have never been able to reach the conference finals. Chris Paul and Blake Griffin staying healthy will be a major key to the Clippers having success this upcoming season. With a solid starting five and slightly above average bench, 53.5 wins sounds just about right, but do not expect them to push the Warriors or the Spurs around at all.

Over/Under: OVER

Los Angeles Lakers: O/U 24.5 wins

A storied organization has not seen success in over 5 years now, but the recent failure has set them up for what could be a promising future. They have drafted DeAngelo Russell and Brandon Ingram with their top picks in the last two years and they both have the capability to take over games and get their teammates involved. The rest of the team seems like it was sort of thrown together and the chemistry is still to be determined. This Laker team is right around their projected win total, maybe a little more or maybe a little less, only time will tell.

Over/Under: OVER

Memphis Grizzlies: O/U 43.5 wins

Coming off what could be deemed as a weird year, the Grizz are looking to bounce back. They went huge in the free agency market this year, when I say huge, I mean they spent a huge amount of money of two players, over $247 million dollars. They have a new coach, David Fizdale, and what could be a different identity as they have finally added shooters to go along their big men in Marc Gasol and Zach Randolph. With the new coach, new additions and same "Core 4", the Grizz should compete for the 4th-6th seed in the West.

Over/Under: OVER

Miami Heat: O/U 36.5 wins

After losing their beloved "child", Dwayne Wade, the Heat looked elsewhere, signing Whiteside to a max deal, snagged both Derrick Williams and James Johnson and signed Dion Waiters. With Chris Bosh, hopefully, coming back, the Heat will not be the same as they were when Wade was around. They have not returned to their dominance since King James left, and do not expect them to be back to that this year. The Heat will surpass their projected totaled wins but not by much.

Over/Under: UNDER

Milwaukee Bucks: O/U 39.5 wins

A team that is super young and super talented. Sort of like the Eastern Conference Minnesota Timberwolves, with a lot of long, athletic players with a couple of key veteran leaders. Under Jason Kidd, they have stayed consistently around 7th-12th best team in the East. For them to make that jump at the 5th or 6th seed, they are going have to find and stick to their identity. I expect the Bucks to get to 45 wins this season a stir up the Eastern Conference a little bit.

Over/Under: OVER

Minnesota Timberwolves: O/U 41.5 wins

The most underrated team in the NBA, in my opinion, they have a lot of great, young talent and they are looking to make a lot of noise this year. It will be tough with Western Conference foes like the Warriors, Spurs, and Clippers but they will need to get the wins against the bottom feeders and the teams they are fighting for the playoffs. Look for the Timberwolves to really compete for the 6th-8th seeds this year and win more than 41 games.

Over/Under: OVER

New Orleans Pelicans: O/U 36.5 wins

The bottom feeder of the Southeastern Division in the West. People would think that having a Top-7 NBA player that they would try their best to put him around a good supporting cast, but that was not the case this offseason for the Pelicans. Their best signing may have come from signing Lance Stephenson to a contract. 36.5 wins is a bit much for the Pelicans, lower 30s fit them best.

Over/Under: UNDER

New York Knicks: O/U 38.5 wins

The "Super Team" or whatever it was that Derrick Rose called the Knicks. They had a pretty good offseason if you think adding a bunch of older and injury-proned players like Derrick Rose and Joakim Noah. The Knicks are in no way shape or form, in a good position to compete in the East, but the 38.5 win sounds right for this team. They may even win up to 40 games but they will not be anything special.

Over/Under: OVER

Oklahoma City Thunder: O/U 45.5 wins

Home of the 2016-17 NBA MVP, Russell Westbrook, the Thunder had a good offseason considering the fact they did not win the Kevin Durant sweepstake. Adding Victor Oladipo who will compliment Russ really well, they traded their big man Serge Ibaka to get Oladipo. They still have an average roster with Westbrook leading the way. He is going to be the reason that they reach their projected win total this year. Westbrook is about to have an absolute monster year and it is going to be extremely entertaining.

Over/Under: OVER

Orlando Magic: O/U 36.5 wins

The Magic organization seemed pretty dumb on draft night when they traded Oladipo, Ilyasova and Sabonis and got Serge Ibaka, whose contract is up after this season. They signed Jeff Green to a 1 year $15 million dollar deal, another dumb move. With Aaron Gordon as their center piece of the organization, they have an average support cast around him. Do not expect the Magic to make a lot of noise in the East this season.

Over/Under: UNDER

Philadelphia 76ers: O/U 27.5 wins

The bottom feeder of the league for what seems to be more than a decade. After getting top 3 pick after top 3 pick, but always seeming to get a big man with every pick, the 76ers drafted Ben Simmons. Simmons might be what the 76ers need to be successful in the next few years, but not this year. With Simmons and Okafor as their cornerstone, the 76ers need to put together a much better supporting cast to compete. However, their projected win total, is very reachable.

Over/Under: OVER

Phoenix Suns: O/U 26.5 wins

The Suns have a very good balance of youth and veteran talent. Their most successful lineup is going to be running Bledsoe and Booker at 1/2, PJ Tucker at the 3, Alex Len at the 4 and Tyson Chandler at the 5. That lineup is not capable of competing against the rest of the western conference. The supporting cast is going to have be extrememly good for the team to have any remote chance at the playoffs.

Over/Under: OVER

Portland Trail Blazers: O/U 46.5 wins

The Trailblazers might possibly be the most underrated team right now in the NBA. After losing LaMarcus Aldridge last season, they surprised the entire league with how well they played. Finishing 44-38 last season and making the playoffs, they look to improve their record from last year and be a competitor in the West. They arguably have the second best 1/2 punch in Damian Lillard and CJ McCollum. Adding Evan Turner and Festus Ezeli and keeping Allen Crabbe, the Trail Blazers should be very entertaining.

Over/Under: OVER

Sacramento Kings: O/U 32.5 wins

New coach, same problems. DeMarcus Cousins has had issues since he was drafted by the Kings, and they may continue with the new head coach David Joerger. Rumors have been stirring about both Cousins and Gay both being shipped from Sacramento. This Kings team has the capability to compete for the last playoff spot if Cousins does not butt heads with a player, a coach, or anyone in managment. If he does not, then the season will be long and rough for the Kings.

Over/Under: UNDER

San Antonio Spurs: O/U 56.5 wins

The San Antonio has been on top of the NBA consistently for 2 decades now, and they will continue to be a top 3 team even without Tim Duncan. His leadership and play are going to miss, but the Spurs will always have someone else that is capable of putting up numbers and doing whatever it takes to help the team out. They are like robots and they are going to continue to put pressure on the Warriors and Cavaliers. Expect huge seasons from Leonard and Aldridge as they take control of the team.

Over/Under: OVER

Toronto Raptors: O/U 49.5 wins

The curse of Drake got to the Raptors last season. The Raptors are going to continue to compete for the 3rd-5th seed in the East, adding Jared Sullinger is going to huge for them. Expect DeRozan and Lowry to carry the team to the playoffs for what should be another big year for the Raptors.

Over/Under: OVER

Utah Jazz: O/U 47.5 wins

Led by Gordon Heyward and Rudy Gobert, this Utah Jazz team is going to be a lot of pressure on teams competing for the 4th-6th seed in the Western Conference. They are young, big and athletic enough to stretch teams out while still feeding the post. They are going to be a hard team to defend. Adding them into the playoff conversation makes things much more entertaining.

Over/Under: UNDER

Washington Wizards: O/U 42.5 wins

With John Wall and Bradley Beal as the leaders of this Wizards team, they should be an extremely good team. Adding Trey Burke and Mahinmi, their bench has gotten much deeper and much more reliable. This should be an entertaining team and a team to watch out for.

Over/Under: OVER

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