Jul. 28, 2017
Daily Fantasy Baseball Picks - Wednesday, July 26
Welcome back to another installment of my new article series going over some of my top picks for daily fantasy baseball. I will include the two pitchers I have the most exposure to and my top teams to stack in GPP's. On Thursday's and Friday's you can find my main position by position article, top stacks, and pitchers over at and you can also join me in the everyday leading up to lineup lock. Don't forget to grab a FREE copy of my that is posted daily. The link can be found throughout the article. Good luck everyone.
It's hump day and you know what that means. Split-slate baseball and today we have five games in the afternoon and 10 more on the main slate. Let's take a look at my top pitching and stacks for each slate.
Early Slate - Chris Sale (DK-$13,400 / FD-$11,800)
On a short slate with limited pitching options, it's Sale or bust for me today. I am expecting his ownership to be through the roof even with a high salary on both sites as the secondary options just are not as safe or appealing. Sale continued to deal in his last start despite only lasting six innings with 112 pitches. He did strike out nine in that time pushing his league-leading K rate up to 12.74 K/9 for the season to with an elite 2.64 xFIP. The Mariners only strikeout about 18% of the time vs. LH pitching but have not been the powerhouse vs. southpaws they once were as they sit league average in most categories. Roll with Sale and his enormous upside and then fill in around him with value plays for cash games and cheap stacks for tournaments.
Also Consider: Jeff Samardzija (SF)
Main Slate - Carlos Carrasco (DK-$11,000 / FD-$9,800)
At first glance, there are a lot great options at the top of the salary but there is also a ton of risk. Alex Wood's pitch count is always a concern, especially now with Kershaw on the DL. Fiers seems overpriced(at least on Draftkings) due to the matchup vs. the weak offense in Philly. Darvish is intriguing with his 9.7 K/9 rate but I feel you can get the same upside with Carrasco tonight at a discount on both sites. He is actually striking out a tick more batters per nine(10.00 K/9) and has the edge with his elite 13.3% swinging strike rate. He gets the Angels tonight who do present some risk with Mike Trout back but Carrasco has a few splits on his side tonight. While he has been a bit better on the road he has dominated right-handed batters(.269 wOBA, 10.4 K/9 rate) and faces an Angels team that ranks dead last in hitting on the road. I will have a ton of exposure to Carrasco in all formats tonight.
Also Consider: Gio Gonzalez(GPP only facing Brewers who K a league high 26% vs. LH pitching)
Early Slate - Tampa Bay Rays vs. Ubaldo Jimenez (BAL)
I was on the Orioles last night in an effort to be contrarian and got burned. Today I am jumping across the diamond and will join the "pick on Ubaldo Jimenez" bandwagon. He has been atrocious lately giving up four or more earned runs in four straight and five of his last six starts for an ugly 9.20 ERA and 22.2% HR/FB rate. For the most part, I will be targeting the left-handed bats as Jimenez has given up a crazy .428 wOBA and 15 of his 22 HR against to lefties.
Players to Target: Corey Dickerson(LH), Logan Morrison(LH), Brad Miller(Value), Steven Souze(RH), Evan Longoria(RH)
Main Slate - Chicago Cubs vs. James Shields (CWS)
On the main slate, I will be targeting another bad pitcher and a red-hot offense. First, let's talk about James Shields. He went on the DL in mid-April and was out nearly two months and since returning to the rotation, has been a complete dumpster fire. In six starts, he has given up 42 hits in 30 IP with nine home runs(19.1% HR/FB rate) which equals an ugly 8.10 ERA and 6.54 xFIP. Things are not going to get any easier today against the Cubs who have been red hot and fought their way back into the National League Central Division race. Over the last 14 days, they have been a top offensive team with a .369 wOBA, 126 wRC+ and sit tied with the Padres for most home runs(20) in that time. Are the 2016 Cubs back? I do believe so.
Players to Target: Kris Bryant, Ben Zobrist, Anthony Rizzo, Wilson Contreras