Oct. 15, 2017
Week 6 NFL Picks - It's Getting Serious
Week 6 of the NFL season begins tomorrow when the Philadelphia Eagles travel to Charlotte to square off against the suddenly dangerous Carolina Panthers. This week features a lot of marquee matchups, but a few games that might be tough to watch (Baltimore and Chicago, sorry). Regardless, it's bound to be another exciting week in what has been an amazing season thus far. I'm looking to improve on my mediocre 6-8 record from last week. This week features another 14-game slate as the Bills, Bengals, Cowboys and Seahawks have bye weeks. Let's get right into the picks!
Philadelphia Eagles @ Carolina Panthers (Thursday, 8:25 PM ET)
Cam has been on fire.
So has Carson Wentz. This game is going to be a shootout between two of the hottest teams in the NFL. The Eagles have the edge on defense, but a great Cam Newton is better than a great Wentz. Cam's more experienced, the Panthers will get a narrow victory.
The Pick: Panthers 35, Eagles 31
Chicago Bears @ Baltimore Ravens (Sunday, 1:00 PM ET)
Joe Flacco is still getting away with highway robbery. He's making over $20 million this year for 4 touchdowns and 6 interceptions worth of work. Project that out to a full year and you're looking at about 12 touchdowns to 18 picks. That's not going to work. It'll work this week against a Bears team that is downright terrible, but not against many others. Expect a mediocre game from both QB's and a Ravens win.
The Pick: Ravens 20, Bears 14
Cleveland Browns @ Houston Texans (Sunday, 1:00 PM ET)
Against the Chiefs defense. That's about all you need to know for this pick. Cleveland is transitioning from DeShone Kizer to Kevin Hogan at QB. Houston is missing two of its best defensive players and should still dominate the Browns. DeShaun Watson is the real deal.
The Pick: Texans 34. Browns 14
Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings (Sunday, 1:00 PM ET)
He did it again last week. With a minute left in last Sunday's game against the Cowboys, Aaron Rodgers marched his team down the field and threw a game-winning touchdown with less than 20 seconds left. The Vikings struggled to beat a Bears team that had Mitchell Trubisky making his first at QB. This one isn't a hard pick to make.
The Pick: Packers 27, Vikings 17
Detroit Lions @ New Orleans Saints (Sunday, 1:00 PM ET)
This is big. Matthew Stafford is the Detroit Lions offense. If he can't go, the Saints will blow out the Lions. I'm banking on Stafford playing through the pain and playing hero ball this week. He'll have plenty of time to rest during his upcoming bye week but for now, the Lions need him to win a shootout with the Saints.
The Pick: Lions 34, Saints 28
Miami Dolphins @ Atlanta Falcons (Sunday, 1:00 PM ET)
Atlanta is coming off a bye week and is in a prime position to create some momentum this week against a struggling Dolphins team. The final score of this game could be a lot more than 27 for the Falcons and less than 17 for the 'Fins. I tried to give the Dolphins the benefit of the doubt and envision a situation where Jay Cutler hangs with Matt Ryan, but I couldn't. Smokin' Jay will put up some points, but not nearly as many as Matty Ice.
The Pick: Falcons 27, Dolphins 17
New England Patriots @ New York Jets (Sunday, 1:00 PM ET)
New England is too good to lose this game. They cannot afford a loss to the Jets. Imagine the internet and the NFL world if Tom Brady's Patriots handed first place in the AFC East to Josh McCown and the Jets. Tom Brady has a sprained AC Joint in his left shoulder but the good news is - he throws with his right. He'll put up a big game and the panic button will be silenced for another week.
The Pick: Patriots 42, Jets 21
San Francisco 49ers @ Washington Redskins (Sunday, 1:00 PM ET)
Kirk has been pretty good. I've been trying to give the 49ers a win for weeks and every time I pencil them in for one, they blow it. This week, I'm not having it. Kirk Cousins will throw for 3 touchdowns and the 49ers will drop to 0-6.
The Pick: Redskins 21, 49ers 10
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Arizona Cardinals (Sunday, 4:05 PM ET)
Jameis Winston > Carson Palmer. Bucs > Cardinals. Another pick that wasn't too difficult to make. Winston quietly threw for 334 yards and a touchdown against New England and should throw for another 300 against the Cardinals. The difference in talent between these teams is significant enough that I feel comfortable with picking Tampa Bay on the road.
The Pick: Buccaneers 24, Cardinals 17
Los Angeles Rams @ Jacksonville Jaguars (Sunday, 4:05 PM ET)
Jared Goff has to have a sour taste in his mouth after throwing 2 interceptions and still almost beating the Seahawks last Sunday. Expect him to bounce back with an efficient, winning effort this week. The Jags' defense is no joke, so I'm giving the Rams 21 hard-earned points. Until Blake Bortles consistently performs at a high level (if he ever does), the Jaguars' ceiling is limited.
The Pick: Rams 21, Jaguars 7
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Kansas City Chiefs (Sunday, 4:25 PM ET)
As long as Smith keeps playing MVP-level football, this Chiefs team will be dominant. Pittsburgh should play a lot better than it did last week, but it won't be enough to upset the Chiefs. Home-field advantage will play a big role on Sunday and might force Ben Roethlisberger into a mistake, which could be the difference in a competitive ballgame.
The Pick: Chiefs 30, Steelers 21
Los Angeles Chargers @ Oakland Raiders (Sunday, 4:25 PM ET)
Upset of the week! Yes, Philip Rivers is going to go into Oakland and spoil Derek Carr's comeback game. LA always plays games close and Oakland's trend of bad luck will continue. Whether it be injuries or fans trying to fight offensive linemen, there's always something bad going on with the Raiders. 2-5 is still terrible, but the Chargers will take it. Very closely-contested battle with Philip finally coming through in the clutch.
The Pick: Chargers 28, Raiders 27
New York Giants @ Denver Broncos (Sunday, 8:30 PM ET)
Denver's defense will keep them in almost every game. If this team ever gets a franchise QB out of Trevor Siemian, the rest of the NFL better watch out. Even with an off game from Siemian, the Broncos will handle the Odell and Brandon Marshall-less Giants. Sorry, Eli.
The Pick: Broncos 17, Giants 13
Indianapolis Colts @ Tennessee Titans (Monday, 8:30 PM ET)
This guy is back, thus the Titans offense is back. Andrew Luck is not playing (again) on Sunday, so expect another mediocre offensive effort from the Colts. The Titans have the blowout loss in Houston in the back of their minds - they won't want another performance like that.
The Pick: Titans 31, Colts 10
That's it for Week 6 Picks! Let me know if you have anything different! It should be a fun week in the NFL, hopefully I can do better than 6-8 this week...
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